The average linear growth rateof 0.15 Gtoe/year (started in 1945) was prolonged until the recession of 2008 got triggered. The average tendency that will follow will most likely draw a curve inflecting with a decreasing slope, reaching a summit and then going down, under the combined effects of the depletion of accessible and not-too-expensively exploitable resources, of the strong reduction of the capability to create ever more money by creating ever more debts on the credit side of the financial network, and of the strong reduction of investment capabilities, each of these three effects reinforcing the two others. [The character of accessibility and the capabilities to exploit resources vary, depending on many conjunctural factors such as market prices, geopolitical and environmental considerations, and probably many other factors that will be revealed in the future.]
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